Have you seen the TED video of Dr. Jill Bolte Taylor, a neuroanatomist
who had a massive hemorrhagic stroke in the left hemisphere of her brain?
Taylor is a neuroanatomist. This gave her unique insight into her
stroke as it unfolded.
A hemorrhagic stroke is heavy duty trauma. In Taylor’s case it shut
down her left cortical hemisphere, the side associated with speaking, reasoning
and analytical activities. She was left
with just the right hemisphere to view and interpret events coming within the reach
of her consciousness. It rendered the world far differently from the one she
experienced before the stroke. She lost all sense of any boundaries between where
she began and ended. She felt part of a splendid whole that infused her with an
eerie euphoria. At first it didn’t matter that the stroke had silenced the verbal
centers of her left brain. As the stroke continued unfolding she became vividly
aware that the right brain and left brain are of two different minds, neither
of which is capable by itself of giving an accurate read on reality.
Dr. Taylor’s story bears an important metaphorical caveat for
economists, investment analysts, marketers and others who try to foretell the
future base on mathematical reductions of reality. It takes both sides of the
brain to come up with an accurate picture of reality. The analytical left brain for all
its powers of logic and reasoning cannot do it on its own. Einstein knew that.
He famously observed, “As far as the laws of mathematics refer to reality, they
are not certain, and as far as they are certain, they do not refer to reality.”
Wall Street “quants” – those analysts who live by numbers – have come
in for some sharp criticism in the wake of the 2008 Financial Crash. Macroeconomists
have also taken in on the chin because none of any prominence saw the Crash
coming. In fact, the party line well into 2008 is that the year would
experience modest growth.
A dozen years ago I wrote an article for American Demographics about
huge shortcomings in quantitative market research. It produced by far the
largest number of reader responses in the magazine’s history. I don’t know how
many ended up on the editor’s desk but I received over 400 emails, many expressing
the thanks for letting them know why market research so often misses the mark.
Market research is a more than $6 billion industry. The fact that some
90 percent of new products and product line extensions fail suggests that much
of that $6 billion dollars is needlessly wasted. At the core of the problem is
the dearth of understanding of human behavior among researchers.
A number of prominent entrepreneurs have a deep distrust of statistically
grounded research, particularly in consumer research. These include Phil Knight
(Nike), Steve Jobs (Apple), Howard Schultz (Starbucks) and Scott Cook (Intuit).
Scott Bedbury, who helped Phil Knight turn Nike into an international brand had
this to say about traditional consumer market research:
The greatest
problem with relying on traditional methodologies … is that they provide
management with reams of statistical data, which may tempt those lacking in
confidence to go against their common sense and gut intuition.. That, to put it
mildly, is not the Nike way. In fact, prior to my first interview with Phil
Knight, I had been specifically advised to avoid mentioning the words
“marketing” or “research” in speaking with him. Apparently, he regarded both
words as symbolic of what is wrong with most businesses.
After helping Knight turn Nike into one of the world’s best-known
brands, Bedbury hired on with Howard Schultz to do much the same for Starbuck’s.
Again, he found himself working for an entrepreneur with a strong bias against quantitative
consumer research.
Intuit founder Scott Cook puts great
faith in anthropological, aka ethnological research. Cook sent employees into
stores to “pick up” customers who had just bought an Intuit product. They were
to accompany customers home to see how they integrated their Intuit purchase into
their lives. Cook wanted to give customers accounting products that reflected
their way of doing business.
Cook’s choice of anecdotal research over statistical research played a
major role in making Intuit the leader in domestic and small business
accounting software. Unable to compete
effectively, Bill Gates made a move to buy Intuit. However the SEC scotched the
proposed marriage and Intuit went on to become even more dominant in its market
niche.
I’ll close with another Einsteinian bit of wisdom: Not everything that can be counted counts, and not everything that counts can be counted. All the entrepreneurs I just cited obviously buy into that wisdom. I wonder how many of my readers do.
P.S Be sure to watch Jill Bolte Taylor's incredible story.


Oh, you are so on to something here! Why do you not have more comments? I read Bolte Taylor's book, saw her TED presentation, heard her interview on Oprah in 2009 -- early, I think (still on Oprah.com). I think her work is seminal for us, especially enlightening for those "left-brain" specialists who still think rationality is all that is going on. Of course for a practitioner, advocate, and teacher/preacher of Christian mysticism, her words only confirmed what I KNOW. Glad you found her! Hope your words have some impact on your field (or maybe I don't! -- do I want marketers that far into my psyche?)
Posted by: Ann | February 07, 2010 at 01:09 AM
"Hope your words have some impact on your field (or maybe I don't! -- do I want marketers that far into my psyche?)" -- You have good reason to give that idea second thoughts. We have yet to rise to the level of moral development where marketers don't take advantage of new knowledge about human behavior to apply principally for their own gain.
DBW
Posted by: David Wolfe | February 07, 2010 at 04:57 PM